Updated Forcaset Intersect360
HPC and hyperscale analyst Addison Snell from Intersect360 Research gave a presentation on August 6, 2020. The entire presentation and slides are available on Intersect 360 webpage (Thanks i360).
If you are curious how HPC may play out in the COVID-19 pandemic, watch the presentation (including questions at the end). Slides are also helpful, but Addison provides good context . For the impatient, here are the conclusions:
- Demand for high-performance computing endures. HPC is a long-term, stable growth market.
- Regardless of COVID-19, dynamics were shifting toward:
- Increase in cloud computing, or other cloud-like deployments
- Increase in government spending
- COVID-19 accelerates both of these trends
- HPC vendors should expect purchases to be delayed in 2020, followed by a boom year in 2021 as sales cycles come back in. However, not all lost revenue is recaptured.
- There is significant risk in this forecast. Two significant factors are:
- How long COVID-19 persists as an economic damper.
- The health of HPC vendors and their ability to ride out the market instability.