A recent Intersect360 Research Report presents the 2015 total market model and five-year forecast for the overall High Performance Computing (HPC) market, including servers, storage, services, software, networks and other products. Last year (2015) saw continued realignment of supplier position based on sale of IBM’s x86 server business to Lenovo. Expectations varied by economic sector, but were generally more bullish than supplier results might suggest. Cloud computing maintained a high level of interest, even as current spending remained relatively low.

Intersect360 continues to believe the fundamental growth drivers of the HPC market remain strong. However, they believe that spending in public sectors is currently constrained by a long-term shift towards government austerity policies, particularly in the United States and Europe. Thus they expect commercial and industrial spending to become an increasingly important part of the overall HPC market.

Some of the key findings of this report include:

  • Total worldwide HPC market (servers, storage, software, etc.) reached $28.6 billion in 2015, up 2.7% from 2014.
  • Intersect360 Research projects HPC revenue compound annual growth rate to be 5.2% CAGR from 2015 to 2020, reaching $36.9 billion at the end of the forecast period.
  • Servers were the largest component, reaching $10.6 billion (4.0% growth over 2014).
  • Industrial HPC is the driving engine of the market growing at 6.8% over the forecast period.
  • Academia showing some strength but will continue with moderate growth at 3.2% CAGR over the forecast period.
  • Government austerity programs show no signs of loosening up leading to a 3.0% CAGR over the forecast period.

Intersect360 also noted the ultrascale internet segment continued its expansion and maturation, to the point where we now consider it a distinct market. As such, starting this year, Intersect360 Research will track it as a separate super-segment, under the more widely accepted name of hyperscale. Data and analysis for the hyperscale market are not included in this report and will be analyzed separately. Previous years’ High Performance Business Computing (HPBC) data has been adjusted for the removal of this segment. The full report is available from Intersect360.

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